Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 13:00 • Kigali Pelé Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.16) 1.16 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.0% 31.0% 45.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Rutsiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Kigali 0 15.2% 17.6% 10.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 12.8% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.0% 4.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS KigaliRutsiro
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack36%64%
Defense55%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Kigali Rutsiro
HATHAT
Played79167916
Wins14%22%19%0%33%19%
Draws57%22%38%29%22%25%
Loses29%56%44%71%44%56%

Form: AS Kigali: LLDWLLDWDLLDDDLW • Rutsiro: LLLLDDDWLLDWWLLL

League goals

Metric AS Kigali Rutsiro
HATHAT
GF total481271017
GF avg0.60.90.81.01.11.1
GA total71219131326
GA avg1.01.31.21.91.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS KigaliRutsiro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%69%94%
1.513%38%31%44%
2.50%13%6%19%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS KigaliRutsiro
HATHAT
Clean sheets336011
Failed to score336235

Penalties

MetricAS KigaliRutsiro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAS KigaliRutsiro
Wins12
Draws33
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-2—2-3
Biggest losses0-34-22-43-1
Goals For1223
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricAS KigaliRutsiro
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total44.7%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rutsiro

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away4.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Unibet
No1.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Kigali = 0.72 (league 1.16), Rutsiro = 1.16 (league 0.95)

Rutsiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Kigali 0 15.2% 17.6% 10.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 12.8% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.0% 4.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 45.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1