Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:00 • Ubworoherane Football Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.17) 1.27 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 27.9% 40.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Marines
0 1 2 3 4 5
Musanze 0 9.6% 12.2% 7.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.3% 13.1% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.6% 7.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMusanzeMarines
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack80%50%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Musanze Marines
HATHAT
Played97168816
Wins44%29%38%63%38%50%
Draws22%29%25%13%0%6%
Loses33%43%38%25%63%44%

Form: Musanze: LWDDDWWWDLLWLLWL • Marines: WWLLLWWLWWLWLDLW

League goals

Metric Musanze Marines
HATHAT
GF total1382110818
GF avg1.41.11.31.31.01.1
GA total117186713
GA avg1.21.01.10.80.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMusanzeMarines
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%75%56%
1.538%31%38%25%
2.525%13%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMusanzeMarines
HATHAT
Clean sheets235437
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricMusanzeMarines
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMusanzeMarines
Wins32
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-22-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricMusanzeMarines
Form46%54%
Att62%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Marines

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Betano
Away2.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Musanze = 1.08 (league 1.17), Marines = 1.27 (league 0.95)

Marines
0 1 2 3 4 5
Musanze 0 9.6% 12.2% 7.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.3% 13.1% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.6% 7.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 40.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1