Mon, Jan 12 2026 • 13:00 • Kigali Pelé Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.16) 0.95 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.4% 35.7% 43.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.5%
0 - 1
21.3%
1 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Gasogi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gorilla 0 22.5% 21.3% 10.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1%
1 12.3% 11.6% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGorillaGasogi United
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack12%6%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.41 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gorilla Gasogi United
HATHAT
Played97168816
Wins22%29%25%25%38%31%
Draws33%43%38%25%25%25%
Loses44%29%38%50%38%44%

Form: Gorilla: WDDDDWLLLWDDLLWL • Gasogi United: DWDDLWWWWLLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Gorilla Gasogi United
HATHAT
GF total64105712
GF avg0.70.60.60.60.90.8
GA total971611718
GA avg1.01.01.01.40.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGorillaGasogi United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%63%50%63%
1.513%19%19%44%
2.50%13%6%6%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGorillaGasogi United
HATHAT
Clean sheets336246
Failed to score538448

Penalties

MetricGorillaGasogi United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGorillaGasogi United
Wins14
Draws42
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-11-00-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-32-0
Goals For2123
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricGorillaGasogi United
Form80%20%
Att67%33%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Gorilla or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ William Hill
Draw2.75 @ Unibet
Away3.25 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.51 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gorilla = 0.54 (league 1.16), Gasogi United = 0.95 (league 0.95)

Gasogi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gorilla 0 22.5% 21.3% 10.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1%
1 12.3% 11.6% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.4% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 43.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1