Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Renato Silveira
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 2.60)
0.56 (league 1.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.4% | 31.7% | 17.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.9%
0 - 0
18.1%
2 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Jaraguá | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guarani de Palhoça | 0 | 18.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.9% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guarani de Palhoça | Jaraguá |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 78% |
| Attack | 47% | 26% |
| Defense | 63% | 84% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
91%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guarani de Palhoça | Jaraguá | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Guarani de Palhoça: LWW • Jaraguá: WDW
League goals
| Metric | Guarani de Palhoça | Jaraguá | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guarani de Palhoça | Jaraguá | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 67% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guarani de Palhoça | Jaraguá | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guarani de Palhoça | Jaraguá |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guarani de Palhoça | Jaraguá |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 3-4 | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guarani de Palhoça | Jaraguá |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 49.8% | 50.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Jaraguá
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guarani de Palhoça = 1.15 (league 2.60), Jaraguá = 0.56 (league 1.80)
| Jaraguá | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guarani de Palhoça | 0 | 18.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.9% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.4% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 17.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1