Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 09:00 • TNA Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.34) 0.75 (league 0.60)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.3% 33.8% 27.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.3%
1 - 0
17.3%
0 - 1
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Aduana Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Medeama 0 18.3% 13.8% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.1% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMedeamaAduana Stars
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack100%44%
Defense56%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Medeama Aduana Stars
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins73%40%57%55%40%48%
Draws27%40%33%36%20%29%
Loses0%20%10%9%40%24%

Form: Medeama: WWLWWDWDDWDDWDWDWWWWL • Aduana Stars: LWWLWWWWDDWLDWDDLWLWD

League goals

Metric Medeama Aduana Stars
HATHAT
GF total20113111920
GF avg1.81.11.51.00.91.0
GA total68145712
GA avg0.50.80.70.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMedeamaAduana Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%57%57%52%
1.548%10%33%5%
2.514%0%5%0%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMedeamaAduana Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets5496410
Failed to score134549

Penalties

MetricMedeamaAduana Stars
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMedeamaAduana Stars
Wins44
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-10-2
Biggest losses—2-10-11-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricMedeamaAduana Stars
Form63%37%
Att71%29%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Medeama or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away6.13 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.47 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Medeama = 0.94 (league 1.34), Aduana Stars = 0.75 (league 0.60)

Aduana Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Medeama 0 18.3% 13.8% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.1% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.3% · Draw 33.8% · Away win 27.8%

vtt 4 , vtd1