Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 15:00 • Golden City Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.33) 0.72 (league 0.62)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.1% 37.6% 31.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.6%
0 - 1
17.1%
1 - 0
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Medeama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Berekum Chelsea 0 23.6% 17.1% 6.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.3% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away edge

Medeama carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 45 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Berekum Chelsea +6.5, Medeama -12.4.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Berekum Chelsea Elo 1498.3 · +6.5
vs
Medeama Elo 1578.3 · -12.4
Elo gapMedeama +45
Home / draw / away33% / 25% / 42%
Expected home share44%
Combined Elo3076.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3076.6
Elo home share 44%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Berekum Chelsea Medeama
Overall Elo1498.31578.3
Form Elo1506.71570.2
Home / Away Elo1553.61491.5
Attack Elo1428.31599
Defense Elo1561.61601.5
Last 5 Elo change+6.5-12.4

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Berekum Chelsea last-5 Elo change: +6.5; Medeama last-5 Elo change: -12.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBerekum ChelseaMedeama
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack31%56%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-2
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Berekum Chelsea Medeama
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins64%0%31%67%29%48%
Draws21%33%28%27%50%38%
Loses14%67%41%7%21%14%
Berekum ChelseaLLWDLLDWLWLDLWLWLDDWLWDDLWDWL
MedeamaWWLWWDWDDWDDWDWDWWWWLDDDLLWDW

League goals

Metric Berekum Chelsea Medeama
HATHAT
GF total17724281341
GF avg1.20.50.81.90.91.4
GA total7233091120
GA avg0.51.51.00.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBerekum ChelseaMedeama
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%66%79%55%
1.521%24%41%14%
2.53%14%14%0%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBerekum ChelseaMedeama
HATHAT
Clean sheets82107613
Failed to score4812156

Penalties

MetricBerekum ChelseaMedeama
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBerekum ChelseaMedeama
Wins14
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—4-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-22-1
Goals For3142
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricBerekum ChelseaMedeama
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total55.3%44.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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