Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.60)
1.52 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.7% | 23.8% | 36.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Udinese U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vicenza U19 | 0 | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Vicenza U19 -25.4, Udinese U19 +17.6.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Vicenza U19
vs
Udinese U19
Elo gapVicenza U19 +10
Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo2969.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2969.7
Elo home share
51%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Vicenza U19 | Udinese U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1472.5 | 1497.2 |
| Form Elo | 1474.3 | 1510.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1470.9 | 1483.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1525.3 | 1578.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1428 | 1455.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -25.4 | +17.6 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Vicenza U19 last-5 Elo change: -25.4; Udinese U19 last-5 Elo change: +17.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vicenza U19 | Udinese U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 32% | 55% |
| Defense | 45% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vicenza U19 | Udinese U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 38% | 36% | 37% | 43% | 15% | 30% |
| Draws | 15% | 29% | 22% | 21% | 38% | 30% |
| Loses | 46% | 36% | 41% | 36% | 46% | 41% |
Vicenza U19WWLLLLWLDDWWDLLLWWDDWWWLLLD
Udinese U19DLLDWWDLLLLLWLDDWDWLDDLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Vicenza U19 | Udinese U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 24 | 42 | 31 | 17 | 48 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 21 | 25 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vicenza U19 | Udinese U19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 93% | 89% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 44% | 56% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 26% | 22% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 11% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vicenza U19 | Udinese U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vicenza U19 | Udinese U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vicenza U19 | Udinese U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-2 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vicenza U19 | Udinese U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 37% | 63% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 23% | 77% |
| Total | 35.5% | 64.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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