Mon, Oct 6 2025 • 18:00 • GelreDome
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.83) 1.13 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.9% 19.9% 18.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Den Bosch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 3.6% 4.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 7.9% 8.9% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.8% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.3% 7.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitesseDen Bosch
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack73%60%
Defense60%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitesse Den Bosch
HATHAT
Played336549
Wins67%33%50%40%50%44%
Draws0%33%17%40%0%22%
Loses33%33%33%20%50%33%

Form: Vitesse: LDWLWW • Den Bosch: WWLDWLLWD

League goals

Metric Vitesse Den Bosch
HATHAT
GF total651114620
GF avg2.01.71.82.81.52.2
GA total371010818
GA avg1.02.31.72.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitesseDen Bosch
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%89%78%
1.550%50%67%78%
2.533%17%33%44%
3.517%17%22%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitesseDen Bosch
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricVitesseDen Bosch
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricVitesseDen Bosch
Wins12
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-45-22-4
Biggest losses1-24-02-33-0
Goals For3454
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricVitesseDen Bosch
Form59%41%
Att55%45%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total57.5%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Vitesse or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ 10Bet
Draw4.06 @ Pinnacle
Away2.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ 188Bet
No2.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vitesse = 2.19 (league 1.83), Den Bosch = 1.13 (league 1.32)

Den Bosch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 3.6% 4.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 7.9% 8.9% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.8% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.3% 7.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.9% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 18.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1