Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 11:15 • De Vliert
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.80) 2.05 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.8% 19.6% 33.8%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
2 - 1
7.0%
1 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Den Bosch 0 1.3% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.0% 6.1% 6.2% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9%
2 3.4% 7.0% 7.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.4% 5.5% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDen BoschVitesse
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack43%26%
Defense61%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Den Bosch Vitesse
HATHAT
Played10102010919
Wins50%40%45%40%33%37%
Draws20%0%10%20%33%26%
Loses30%60%45%40%33%37%

Form: Den Bosch: WWLDWLLWDWLWLLWWLWLL • Vitesse: LDWLWWLDWLDWLDWLLDW

League goals

Metric Den Bosch Vitesse
HATHAT
GF total231538151631
GF avg2.31.51.91.51.81.6
GA total162339151631
GA avg1.62.32.01.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDen BoschVitesse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%79%84%
1.555%65%53%53%
2.525%30%21%16%
3.515%5%11%11%
4.510%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDen BoschVitesse
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricDen BoschVitesse
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricDen BoschVitesse
Wins22
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-22-43-10-4
Biggest losses2-36-00-44-0
Goals For5434
Goals Against3644

Model comparison

MetricDen BoschVitesse
Form46%54%
Att63%38%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h64%36%
Goals54%46%
Total53.5%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Den Bosch or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.05 @ Pinnacle
Away3.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.80 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ 188Bet
No2.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Den Bosch = 2.30 (league 1.80), Vitesse = 2.05 (league 1.40)

Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Den Bosch 0 1.3% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.0% 6.1% 6.2% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9%
2 3.4% 7.0% 7.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.4% 5.5% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.8% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 33.8%

Vtot 6 , Vtod5