Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 16:00 • Raudondvario stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.35) 1.43 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 26.7% 47.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.8%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Kauno Žalgiris
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hegelmann Litauen 0 9.0% 12.8% 9.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4%
1 8.8% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.3% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHegelmann LitauenKauno Žalgiris
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack55%100%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hegelmann Litauen Kauno Žalgiris
HATHAT
Played141529141529
Wins71%53%62%71%60%66%
Draws7%7%7%14%33%24%
Loses21%40%31%14%7%10%

Form: Hegelmann Litauen: LWWWWWLWLWLWWWDLWLWWWLWWDLLWW • Kauno Žalgiris: WLDWDDWWLWWWWWDWWWWWWWDLWDWWD

League goals

Metric Hegelmann Litauen Kauno Žalgiris
HATHAT
GF total271946342458
GF avg1.91.31.62.41.62.0
GA total15203591019
GA avg1.11.31.20.60.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHegelmann LitauenKauno Žalgiris
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%62%76%55%
1.545%45%66%10%
2.521%10%38%0%
3.57%3%10%0%
4.53%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHegelmann LitauenKauno Žalgiris
HATHAT
Clean sheets47116713
Failed to score235257

Penalties

MetricHegelmann LitauenKauno Žalgiris
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricHegelmann LitauenKauno Žalgiris
Wins57
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-36-11-5
Biggest losses0-24-01-21-0
Goals For5465
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricHegelmann LitauenKauno Žalgiris
Form39%61%
Att35%65%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h7%93%
Goals29%71%
Total31.7%68.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kauno Žalgiris

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away2.12 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hegelmann Litauen = 0.98 (league 1.35), Kauno Žalgiris = 1.43 (league 1.23)

Kauno Žalgiris
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hegelmann Litauen 0 9.0% 12.8% 9.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4%
1 8.8% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.3% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 47.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1