Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:30 • Raudondvario stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.35) 0.80 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.3% 25.7% 19.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Banga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hegelmann Litauen 0 9.6% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.8% 11.9% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHegelmann LitauenBanga
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack45%45%
Defense55%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hegelmann Litauen Banga
HATHAT
Played151530161430
Wins67%53%60%31%29%30%
Draws13%7%10%13%21%17%
Loses20%40%30%56%50%53%

Form: Hegelmann Litauen: LWWWWWLWLWLWWWDLWLWWWLWWDLLWWD • Banga: WLDDLLLWWWLLDLWWLLLDWWLLLWDLLL

League goals

Metric Hegelmann Litauen Banga
HATHAT
GF total281947121325
GF avg1.91.31.60.80.90.8
GA total162036161531
GA avg1.11.31.21.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHegelmann LitauenBanga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%63%53%70%
1.543%43%20%27%
2.520%10%3%7%
3.57%3%3%0%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHegelmann LitauenBanga
HATHAT
Clean sheets4711549
Failed to score2358614

Penalties

MetricHegelmann LitauenBanga
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricHegelmann LitauenBanga
Wins53
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-32-00-5
Biggest losses0-24-01-33-0
Goals For5425
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricHegelmann LitauenBanga
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Hegelmann Litauen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.28 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hegelmann Litauen = 1.54 (league 1.35), Banga = 0.80 (league 1.23)

Banga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hegelmann Litauen 0 9.6% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.8% 11.9% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 19.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1