A Lyga — Lithuania
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 • Alytaus m. centrinis stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.38) 3.18 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.6% 10.4% 73.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
10.4%
0 - 2
9.8%
0 - 4
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dainava 0 1.9% 6.2% 9.8% 10.4% 8.3% 5.3%
1 1.5% 4.7% 7.5% 7.9% 6.3% 4.0%
2 0.6% 1.8% 2.9% 3.0% 2.4% 1.5%
3 0.1% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDainavaFK Zalgiris Vilnius
Played55
Form7%100%
Attack18%65%
Defense41%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dainava FK Zalgiris Vilnius
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins7%13%10%50%40%45%
Draws20%25%23%31%33%32%
Loses73%63%68%19%27%23%

Form: Dainava: LDLLLLLLDLLLDLDLWWLLLLDWDLLDLLL • FK Zalgiris Vilnius: WDDWDLWLLLWLDDDDLWWWLWDWDDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Dainava FK Zalgiris Vilnius
HATHAT
GF total101424212546
GF avg0.70.90.81.31.71.5
GA total343064122335
GA avg2.31.92.10.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDainavaFK Zalgiris Vilnius
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%94%81%68%
1.519%68%52%35%
2.50%35%13%10%
3.50%6%3%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDainavaFK Zalgiris Vilnius
HATHAT
Clean sheets0227310
Failed to score8513336

Penalties

MetricDainavaFK Zalgiris Vilnius
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricDainavaFK Zalgiris Vilnius
Wins23
Draws14
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-02-4
Biggest losses0-54-02-33-0
Goals For2234
Goals Against5433

Model comparison

MetricDainavaFK Zalgiris Vilnius
Form6%94%
Att21%79%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h15%85%
Goals13%88%
Total16.2%84.0%

Advice: Winner : FK Zalgiris Vilnius

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.00 @ Bet365
Draw4.55 @ 188Bet
Away1.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Dainava = 0.76 (league 1.38), FK Zalgiris Vilnius = 3.18 (league 1.23)

FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dainava 0 1.9% 6.2% 9.8% 10.4% 8.3% 5.3%
1 1.5% 4.7% 7.5% 7.9% 6.3% 4.0%
2 0.6% 1.8% 2.9% 3.0% 2.4% 1.5%
3 0.1% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.6% · Draw 10.4% · Away win 73.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1