A Lyga — Lithuania
Mon, Oct 27 2025 • 17:00 • Alytaus m. centrinis stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.43) 2.15 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.5% 18.2% 69.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.5%
0 - 1
12.6%
0 - 3
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hegelmann Litauen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dainava 0 5.8% 12.6% 13.5% 9.7% 5.2% 2.3%
1 4.0% 8.6% 9.3% 6.7% 3.6% 1.5%
2 1.4% 3.0% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDainavaHegelmann Litauen
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack17%33%
Defense44%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dainava Hegelmann Litauen
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins6%12%9%65%50%58%
Draws25%24%24%18%6%12%
Loses69%65%67%18%44%30%

Form: Dainava: LDLLLLLLDLLLDLDLWWLLLLDWDLLDLLLDL • Hegelmann Litauen: LWWWWWLWLWLWWWDLWLWWWLWWDLLWWDDLW

League goals

Metric Dainava Hegelmann Litauen
HATHAT
GF total111526321951
GF avg0.70.90.81.91.21.5
GA total353267172239
GA avg2.21.92.01.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDainavaHegelmann Litauen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%94%79%64%
1.518%67%42%42%
2.50%33%21%9%
3.50%6%9%3%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDainavaHegelmann Litauen
HATHAT
Clean sheets0225712
Failed to score8513347

Penalties

MetricDainavaHegelmann Litauen
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricDainavaHegelmann Litauen
Wins25
Draws12
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-25-20-3
Biggest losses0-54-00-24-0
Goals For2254
Goals Against5424

Model comparison

MetricDainavaHegelmann Litauen
Form11%89%
Att33%67%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total33.0%67.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hegelmann Litauen

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.50 @ 10Bet
Draw4.24 @ Pinnacle
Away1.69 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dainava = 0.69 (league 1.43), Hegelmann Litauen = 2.15 (league 1.23)

Hegelmann Litauen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dainava 0 5.8% 12.6% 13.5% 9.7% 5.2% 2.3%
1 4.0% 8.6% 9.3% 6.7% 3.6% 1.5%
2 1.4% 3.0% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.5% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 69.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1