Mon, Oct 27 2025 • 17:00 • Marijampoles futbolo arenos stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.43) 1.10 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.9% 32.3% 46.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.5%
0 - 0
17.7%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Kauno Žalgiris
0 1 2 3 4 5
Suduva Marijampole 0 17.7% 19.5% 10.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.1% 12.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.5% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSuduva MarijampoleKauno Žalgiris
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack22%39%
Defense72%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Suduva Marijampole Kauno Žalgiris
HATHAT
Played161733161733
Wins50%35%42%69%59%64%
Draws38%41%39%13%35%24%
Loses13%24%18%19%6%12%

Form: Suduva Marijampole: WWLWWDLDWDWWDWDDDWWDLDLWLWDWDLDDW • Kauno Žalgiris: WLDWDDWWLWWWWWDWWWWWWWDLWDWWDDWWL

League goals

Metric Suduva Marijampole Kauno Žalgiris
HATHAT
GF total242044382664
GF avg1.51.21.32.41.51.9
GA total141832121123
GA avg0.91.11.00.80.60.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSuduva MarijampoleKauno Žalgiris
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%58%79%58%
1.539%27%61%12%
2.512%12%36%0%
3.59%0%9%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSuduva MarijampoleKauno Žalgiris
HATHAT
Clean sheets77146814
Failed to score369257

Penalties

MetricSuduva MarijampoleKauno Žalgiris
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total38

Streaks

MetricSuduva MarijampoleKauno Žalgiris
Wins27
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-36-11-5
Biggest losses1-33-01-21-0
Goals For4465
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricSuduva MarijampoleKauno Žalgiris
Form43%57%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h75%25%
Goals70%30%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Suduva Marijampole or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ 188Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.89 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Suduva Marijampole = 0.63 (league 1.43), Kauno Žalgiris = 1.10 (league 1.22)

Kauno Žalgiris
0 1 2 3 4 5
Suduva Marijampole 0 17.7% 19.5% 10.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.1% 12.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.5% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 46.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1