Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Hernando Siles
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.64 (league 1.89) 1.65 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.5% 8.1% 6.9%
best score tips
4 - 1
5.9%
5 - 1
5.5%
3 - 1
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente Petrolero
0 1 2 3 4 5
The Strongest 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.1% 5.1% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.6% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
5 3.3% 5.5% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricThe StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack50%70%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric The Strongest Independiente Petrolero
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins100%50%73%45%27%36%
Draws0%8%5%36%18%27%
Loses0%42%23%18%55%36%

Form: The Strongest: LWWWDWWLWWWWLWWWWWLLWW • Independiente Petrolero: WLDLDLWDLDDLDLWLWWWWLW

League goals

Metric The Strongest Independiente Petrolero
HATHAT
GF total352459211637
GF avg3.52.02.71.91.51.7
GA total132437152843
GA avg1.32.01.71.42.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineThe StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%77%82%86%
1.582%50%45%55%
2.541%23%23%32%
3.523%5%14%18%
4.514%5%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricThe StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
HATHAT
Clean sheets325213
Failed to score000224

Penalties

MetricThe StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricThe StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
Wins54
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-45-23-4
Biggest losses7-22-45-0
Goals For6454
Goals Against3745

Model comparison

MetricThe StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
Form43%57%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h93%7%
Goals88%13%
Total65.2%35.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : The Strongest or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ 1xBet
Draw5.82 @ Pinnacle
Away7.27 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.38 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): The Strongest = 4.64 (league 1.89), Independiente Petrolero = 1.65 (league 1.19)

Independiente Petrolero
0 1 2 3 4 5
The Strongest 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.1% 5.1% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.6% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
5 3.3% 5.5% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.5% · Draw 8.1% · Away win 6.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1