Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Gilberto Parada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.89) 0.93 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.1% 28.6% 27.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Nacional Potosí
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oriente Petrolero 0 11.1% 10.3% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.1% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOriente PetroleroNacional Potosí
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack35%52%
Defense78%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oriente Petrolero Nacional Potosí
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins56%9%30%40%20%30%
Draws33%18%25%10%40%25%
Loses11%73%45%50%40%45%

Form: Oriente Petrolero: LDLDDLWWWLWLDLLWLLWD • Nacional Potosí: LLWDLWDLDDDLWWLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Oriente Petrolero Nacional Potosí
HATHAT
GF total181230211132
GF avg2.01.11.52.11.11.6
GA total92938151227
GA avg1.02.61.91.51.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOriente PetroleroNacional Potosí
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%80%65%85%
1.540%50%45%40%
2.525%25%25%10%
3.50%20%15%0%
4.50%15%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOriente PetroleroNacional Potosí
HATHAT
Clean sheets404123
Failed to score123257

Penalties

MetricOriente PetroleroNacional Potosí
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricOriente PetroleroNacional Potosí
Wins32
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-35-12-5
Biggest losses1-25-10-22-0
Goals For3355
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricOriente PetroleroNacional Potosí
Form54%46%
Att40%60%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nacional Potosí

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ 188Bet
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away5.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ 188Bet
No2.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oriente Petrolero = 1.27 (league 1.89), Nacional Potosí = 0.93 (league 1.19)

Nacional Potosí
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oriente Petrolero 0 11.1% 10.3% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.1% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.1% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 27.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1