Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Olímpico Patria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.89) 0.59 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.3% 19.2% 9.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.0%
1 - 0
14.9%
3 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Real Tomayapo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Petrolero 0 7.4% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.9% 8.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack64%23%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Petrolero Real Tomayapo
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%27%33%36%10%24%
Draws40%18%29%45%30%38%
Loses20%55%38%18%60%38%

Form: Independiente Petrolero: WLDLDLWDLDDLDLWLWWWWL • Real Tomayapo: LWDDLDDDDDWLDLLWLWLWL

League goals

Metric Independiente Petrolero Real Tomayapo
HATHAT
GF total19163517522
GF avg1.91.51.71.50.51.0
GA total142842152035
GA avg1.42.52.01.42.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%86%62%86%
1.543%57%33%38%
2.524%33%10%19%
3.514%19%0%10%
4.55%5%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score224268

Penalties

MetricIndependiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricIndependiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
Wins41
Draws25
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-23-43-21-2
Biggest losses2-45-01-26-0
Goals For5432
Goals Against4536

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
Form67%33%
Att74%26%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Winner : Independiente Petrolero

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ 188Bet
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away4.90 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Unibet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente Petrolero = 2.01 (league 1.89), Real Tomayapo = 0.59 (league 1.19)

Real Tomayapo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Petrolero 0 7.4% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.9% 8.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.3% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 9.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1