Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Jesús Bermúdez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.89) 2.13 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.4% 20.3% 59.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.3%
0 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bolívar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 0 4.0% 8.6% 9.2% 6.5% 3.4% 1.5%
1 4.4% 9.3% 9.9% 7.0% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.4% 5.0% 5.3% 3.8% 2.0% 0.9%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGualberto Villarroel SJBolívar
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack17%63%
Defense67%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.815 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gualberto Villarroel SJ Bolívar
HATHAT
Played11112211920
Wins55%27%41%73%44%60%
Draws18%9%14%9%33%20%
Loses27%64%45%18%22%20%

Form: Gualberto Villarroel SJ: WWLLDLDWWLWLWWLLWLLDLW • Bolívar: WLWWWWWDLDLDWWLWWDWW

League goals

Metric Gualberto Villarroel SJ Bolívar
HATHAT
GF total191130341650
GF avg1.71.01.43.11.82.5
GA total152237121123
GA avg1.42.01.71.11.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGualberto Villarroel SJBolívar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%82%100%65%
1.536%41%60%40%
2.518%23%45%10%
3.59%18%30%0%
4.55%5%15%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGualberto Villarroel SJBolívar
HATHAT
Clean sheets224437
Failed to score347000

Penalties

MetricGualberto Villarroel SJBolívar
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricGualberto Villarroel SJBolívar
Wins25
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-35-00-3
Biggest losses0-45-11-33-1
Goals For5354
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricGualberto Villarroel SJBolívar
Form24%76%
Att21%79%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total31.2%68.8%

Advice: Winner : Bolívar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.09 @ Pinnacle
Away1.78 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gualberto Villarroel SJ = 1.08 (league 1.89), Bolívar = 2.13 (league 1.19)

Bolívar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 0 4.0% 8.6% 9.2% 6.5% 3.4% 1.5%
1 4.4% 9.3% 9.9% 7.0% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.4% 5.0% 5.3% 3.8% 2.0% 0.9%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.4% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 59.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1