Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 21:15 • Estadio Félix Capriles
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.89) 0.94 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.9% 21.2% 17.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 0
10.5%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Jorge Wilstermann
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universitario de Vinto 0 5.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.6% 10.0% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.9% 6.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUniversitario de VintoJorge Wilstermann
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack17%21%
Defense58%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Universitario de Vinto Jorge Wilstermann
HATHAT
Played111122121022
Wins45%9%27%8%10%9%
Draws27%27%27%33%10%23%
Loses27%64%45%58%80%68%

Form: Universitario de Vinto: WDLDLLWWDDLLDWLWLLWLDL • Jorge Wilstermann: LLLLWLLLDLDLDLLLLDDLLW

League goals

Metric Universitario de Vinto Jorge Wilstermann
HATHAT
GF total1982710717
GF avg1.70.71.20.80.70.8
GA total182341252247
GA avg1.62.11.92.12.22.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUniversitario de VintoJorge Wilstermann
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%77%59%86%
1.532%50%18%64%
2.59%23%0%27%
3.59%14%0%14%
4.50%14%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUniversitario de VintoJorge Wilstermann
HATHAT
Clean sheets325213
Failed to score156549

Penalties

MetricUniversitario de VintoJorge Wilstermann
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricUniversitario de VintoJorge Wilstermann
Wins21
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-21-01-2
Biggest losses0-75-12-75-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against7575

Model comparison

MetricUniversitario de VintoJorge Wilstermann
Form44%56%
Att44%56%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Universitario de Vinto or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betano
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Universitario de Vinto = 1.98 (league 1.89), Jorge Wilstermann = 0.94 (league 1.19)

Jorge Wilstermann
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universitario de Vinto 0 5.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.6% 10.0% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.9% 6.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.9% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 17.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1