Wed, Oct 22 2025 • 12:00 • Cobham Training Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
7.59 (league 1.98) 5.84 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.7% 3.2% 3.1%
best score tips
5 - 5
1.7%
5 - 4
1.5%
4 - 5
1.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ajax U19
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea U19 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2%
5 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelsea U19Ajax U19
Played22
Form100%67%
Attack35%26%
Defense83%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 46 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 24 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

10.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

100%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea U19 Ajax U19
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%100%100%0%100%50%
Draws0%0%0%100%0%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Chelsea U19: WW • Ajax U19: DW

League goals

Metric Chelsea U19 Ajax U19
HATHAT
GF total538156
GF avg5.03.04.01.05.03.0
GA total224134
GA avg2.02.02.01.03.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelsea U19Ajax U19
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%100%50%50%
2.5100%0%50%50%
3.550%0%50%0%
4.550%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelsea U19Ajax U19
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricChelsea U19Ajax U19
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricChelsea U19Ajax U19
Wins20
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-22-3—3-5
Biggest losses————
Goals For5315
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricChelsea U19Ajax U19
Form60%40%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Chelsea U19 or draw and +4.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ Superbet
Draw5.24 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ Marathonbet
No3.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chelsea U19 = 7.59 (league 1.98), Ajax U19 = 5.84 (league 1.71)

Ajax U19
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea U19 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2%
5 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.7% · Draw 3.2% · Away win 3.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1