Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 02:00 • Heart Health Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.10 (league 1.05) 0.60 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.5% 9.7% 4.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
12.3%
2 - 0
11.9%
4 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Hartford Athletic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sacramento Republic 0 2.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.9% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.3% 7.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.5% 5.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSacramento RepublicHartford Athletic
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack63%100%
Defense88%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sacramento Republic Hartford Athletic
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins100%25%50%67%67%67%
Draws0%50%33%33%33%33%
Loses0%25%17%0%0%0%

Form: Sacramento Republic: WWLWDD • Hartford Athletic: WWDDWW

League goals

Metric Sacramento Republic Hartford Athletic
HATHAT
GF total5167714
GF avg2.50.31.02.32.32.3
GA total011347
GA avg0.00.30.21.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSacramento RepublicHartford Athletic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%17%100%67%
1.517%0%100%50%
2.517%0%33%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSacramento RepublicHartford Athletic
HATHAT
Clean sheets235112
Failed to score033000

Penalties

MetricSacramento RepublicHartford Athletic
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSacramento RepublicHartford Athletic
Wins22
Draws02
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-13-10-2
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For4133
Goals Against0122

Model comparison

MetricSacramento RepublicHartford Athletic
Form42%58%
Att29%71%
Def88%13%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total60.5%39.8%

Advice: Double chance : Sacramento Republic or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away4.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.97 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sacramento Republic = 3.10 (league 1.05), Hartford Athletic = 0.60 (league 0.77)

Hartford Athletic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sacramento Republic 0 2.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.9% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.3% 7.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.5% 5.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.5% · Draw 9.7% · Away win 4.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1