Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.71) 1.97 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 19.6% 31.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Vila Real
0 1 2 3 4 5
Machico 0 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
1 3.2% 6.2% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
2 3.7% 7.3% 7.1% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.9% 5.7% 5.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.7% 3.3% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMachicoVila Real
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack8%13%
Defense96%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 23 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Machico Vila Real
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%

Form: Machico: W • Vila Real: W

League goals

Metric Machico Vila Real
HATHAT
GF total022303
GF avg0.02.02.03.00.03.0
GA total011202
GA avg0.01.01.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMachicoVila Real
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%100%
2.50%0%100%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMachicoVila Real
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricMachicoVila Real
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMachicoVila Real
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-23-2
Biggest losses
Goals For0230
Goals Against0120

Model comparison

MetricMachicoVila Real
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Machico or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Machico = 2.34 (league 1.71), Vila Real = 1.97 (league 1.53)

Vila Real
0 1 2 3 4 5
Machico 0 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
1 3.2% 6.2% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
2 3.7% 7.3% 7.1% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.9% 5.7% 5.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.7% 3.3% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 31.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1