Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.33 (league 1.72) 2.03 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 19.5% 32.9%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.1%
2 - 1
7.0%
1 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Vila Real
0 1 2 3 4 5
Machico 0 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
1 3.0% 6.0% 6.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.9%
2 3.5% 7.0% 7.1% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.7% 5.5% 5.6% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.6% 3.2% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMachicoVila Real
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack8%13%
Defense96%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 23 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Machico Vila Real
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—100%100%100%—100%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%0%—0%

Form: Machico: W • Vila Real: W

League goals

Metric Machico Vila Real
HATHAT
GF total022303
GF avg0.02.02.03.00.03.0
GA total011202
GA avg0.01.01.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMachicoVila Real
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%100%
2.50%0%100%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMachicoVila Real
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricMachicoVila Real
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMachicoVila Real
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-23-2—
Biggest losses————
Goals For0230
Goals Against0120

Model comparison

MetricMachicoVila Real
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Machico or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Machico = 2.33 (league 1.72), Vila Real = 2.03 (league 1.48)

Vila Real
0 1 2 3 4 5
Machico 0 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
1 3.0% 6.0% 6.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.9%
2 3.5% 7.0% 7.1% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.7% 5.5% 5.6% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.6% 3.2% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 32.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1