Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 23:00 • Estadio Hernando Siles
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.94 (league 1.89) 1.48 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.7% 10.3% 9.0%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.7%
4 - 1
6.6%
5 - 1
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolívar 0 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.7% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.4% 5.1% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.5% 6.7% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.4% 6.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
5 3.5% 5.2% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBolívarAurora
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack59%41%
Defense77%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bolívar Aurora
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins73%55%64%45%27%36%
Draws9%27%18%18%18%18%
Loses18%18%18%36%55%45%

Form: Bolívar: WLWWWWWDLDLDWWLWWDWWWW • Aurora: WLWLDDLLWWDDWLLLWWWLLL

League goals

Metric Bolívar Aurora
HATHAT
GF total342054211839
GF avg3.11.82.51.91.61.8
GA total121224152641
GA avg1.11.11.11.42.41.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBolívarAurora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%64%82%91%
1.564%36%55%55%
2.541%9%23%23%
3.527%0%14%9%
4.514%0%5%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBolívarAurora
HATHAT
Clean sheets448112
Failed to score000224

Penalties

MetricBolívarAurora
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total28

Streaks

MetricBolívarAurora
Wins53
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-35-12-4
Biggest losses1-33-10-25-2
Goals For5454
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricBolívarAurora
Form68%32%
Att59%41%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total69.2%30.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Bolívar and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.26 @ Betano
Draw5.75 @ Bet365
Away10.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bolívar = 3.94 (league 1.89), Aurora = 1.48 (league 1.19)

Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolívar 0 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.7% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.4% 5.1% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.5% 6.7% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.4% 6.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
5 3.5% 5.2% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.7% · Draw 10.3% · Away win 9.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1