Friendlies — World
Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Corona
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.51) 3.30 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.3% 9.0% 75.1%
best score tips
0 - 3
11.4%
0 - 2
10.3%
0 - 4
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Uruguay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mexico 0 1.9% 6.3% 10.3% 11.4% 9.4% 6.2%
1 1.3% 4.2% 6.9% 7.6% 6.2% 4.1%
2 0.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.5% 2.1% 1.4%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMexicoUruguay
Played52
Form40%100%
Attack29%21%
Defense50%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mexico Uruguay
HATHAT
Played606112
Wins17%—17%100%100%100%
Draws50%—50%0%0%0%
Loses33%—33%0%0%0%

Form: Mexico: LWDDLD • Uruguay: WW

League goals

Metric Mexico Uruguay
HATHAT
GF total606123
GF avg1.00.01.01.02.01.5
GA total11011011
GA avg1.80.01.80.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMexicoUruguay
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%50%
1.533%50%50%0%
2.50%33%0%0%
3.50%33%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMexicoUruguay
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score202000

Penalties

MetricMexicoUruguay
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMexicoUruguay
Wins12
Draws20
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—1-01-2
Biggest losses0-4———
Goals For2012
Goals Against4001

Model comparison

MetricMexicoUruguay
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h20%80%
Goals24%76%
Total30.3%69.8%

Advice: Winner : Uruguay

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Betano
Away2.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.68 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mexico = 0.66 (league 1.51), Uruguay = 3.30 (league 1.09)

Uruguay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mexico 0 1.9% 6.3% 10.3% 11.4% 9.4% 6.2%
1 1.3% 4.2% 6.9% 7.6% 6.2% 4.1%
2 0.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.5% 2.1% 1.4%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.3% · Draw 9.0% · Away win 75.1%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1