Ligue 1
— Burkina-Faso
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:30 •
Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 0.92)
0.41 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8% | 47.8% | 21.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
38.8%
1 - 0
21.0%
0 - 1
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Douanes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Etoile Filante | 0 | 38.8% | 15.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.0% | 8.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Etoile Filante | Douanes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 27% | 45% |
| Defense | 64% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
45%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Etoile Filante | Douanes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| Draws | 100% | 67% | 80% | 100% | 33% | 60% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
Form: Etoile Filante: DDDDL • Douanes: WDDLD
League goals
| Metric | Etoile Filante | Douanes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Etoile Filante | Douanes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Etoile Filante | Douanes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Etoile Filante | Douanes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Etoile Filante | Douanes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Etoile Filante | Douanes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Etoile Filante or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Etoile Filante = 0.54 (league 0.92), Douanes = 0.41 (league 0.86)
| Douanes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Etoile Filante | 0 | 38.8% | 15.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.0% | 8.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 47.8% · Away win 21.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1