Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:30 • Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 0.91) 0.52 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.5% 47.5% 29.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.2%
0 - 1
20.0%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
SONABEL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Etoile Filante 0 38.2% 20.0% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.8% 8.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEtoile FilanteSONABEL
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack14%86%
Defense14%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Etoile Filante SONABEL
HATHAT
Played77146814
Wins14%0%7%33%25%29%
Draws57%29%43%50%25%36%
Loses29%71%50%17%50%36%

Form: Etoile Filante: DDDDLDLWLDLLLL • SONABEL: DLDWLWDLDLDLWW

League goals

Metric Etoile Filante SONABEL
HATHAT
GF total3476511
GF avg0.40.60.51.00.60.8
GA total513183811
GA avg0.71.91.30.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEtoile FilanteSONABEL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%79%50%57%
1.57%29%29%21%
2.50%14%0%0%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEtoile FilanteSONABEL
HATHAT
Clean sheets303426
Failed to score538257

Penalties

MetricEtoile FilanteSONABEL
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricEtoile FilanteSONABEL
Wins11
Draws41
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-22-0
Goals For2122
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricEtoile FilanteSONABEL
Form13%88%
Att14%86%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total34.0%66.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or SONABEL and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Betfair
Draw2.80 @ 10Bet
Away2.35 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Etoile Filante = 0.44 (league 0.91), SONABEL = 0.52 (league 0.80)

SONABEL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Etoile Filante 0 38.2% 20.0% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.8% 8.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 47.5% · Away win 29.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1