Ligue 1
— Burkina-Faso
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 16:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 0.91)
1.20 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.3% | 30.5% | 49.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.7%
0 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| ASFA-Yennenga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AJEB | 0 | 15.9% | 18.9% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
ASFA-Yennenga carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 66 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: AJEB -19.4, ASFA-Yennenga +10.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
AJEB
vs
ASFA-Yennenga
Elo gapASFA-Yennenga +66
Home / draw / away32% / 23% / 45%
Expected home share41%
Combined Elo2929.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2929.9
Elo home share
41%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | AJEB | ASFA-Yennenga |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1414.7 | 1515.2 |
| Form Elo | 1392.5 | 1513.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1468.6 | 1522.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1434.5 | 1420.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1503.4 | 1591.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -19.4 | +10.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. AJEB last-5 Elo change: -19.4; ASFA-Yennenga last-5 Elo change: +10.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AJEB | ASFA-Yennenga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 53% |
| Attack | 56% | 78% |
| Defense | 0% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
50%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AJEB | ASFA-Yennenga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 23% | 7% | 15% | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Draws | 23% | 36% | 30% | 36% | 46% | 41% |
| Loses | 54% | 57% | 56% | 29% | 23% | 26% |
AJEBDDLWDLLLLLDWWLDLWLDLLLLDLLD
ASFA-YennengaDWWDDDDLWWDLDWLDWLLWDLDLWWD
League goals
| Metric | AJEB | ASFA-Yennenga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 6 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 15 | 15 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AJEB | ASFA-Yennenga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 48% | 74% | 59% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 22% | 19% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 7% | 4% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AJEB | ASFA-Yennenga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | AJEB | ASFA-Yennenga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AJEB | ASFA-Yennenga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AJEB | ASFA-Yennenga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 32.5% | 67.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…