Cup — Estonia
Thu, Oct 30 2025 • 17:30 • Nike Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 3.66) 2.37 (league 2.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.8% 13.9% 77.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
17.4%
0 - 1
14.7%
0 - 3
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Tallinna Kalev
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elva 0 6.2% 14.7% 17.4% 13.8% 8.1% 3.9%
1 2.5% 6.0% 7.1% 5.6% 3.3% 1.6%
2 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricElvaTallinna Kalev
Played32
Form100%100%
Attack35%48%
Defense87%96%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.711 | 5.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 11 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

8.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Elva Tallinna Kalev
HATHAT
Played213022
Wins100%100%100%—100%100%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%0%0%—0%0%

Form: Elva: WWW • Tallinna Kalev: WW

League goals

Metric Elva Tallinna Kalev
HATHAT
GF total62801111
GF avg3.02.02.70.05.55.5
GA total213011
GA avg1.01.01.00.00.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineElvaTallinna Kalev
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%50%
1.5100%33%100%0%
2.567%0%100%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricElvaTallinna Kalev
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricElvaTallinna Kalev
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricElvaTallinna Kalev
Wins32
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-2—1-8
Biggest losses————
Goals For3208
Goals Against2101

Model comparison

MetricElvaTallinna Kalev
Form60%40%
Att42%58%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h36%64%
Goals33%67%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : Tallinna Kalev and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.90 @ Betfair
Draw4.07 @ Pinnacle
Away1.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Superbet
No2.55 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Elva = 0.41 (league 3.66), Tallinna Kalev = 2.37 (league 2.32)

Tallinna Kalev
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elva 0 6.2% 14.7% 17.4% 13.8% 8.1% 3.9%
1 2.5% 6.0% 7.1% 5.6% 3.3% 1.6%
2 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.8% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 77.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1