A-League — Australia
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 08:35 • McDonald Jones Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.78) 0.05 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 90.7% 4.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle Jets 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastle JetsMelbourne Victory
Played11
Form0%33%
Attack17%0%
Defense75%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 20 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 30 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

36%
FT probability

2.5+

25%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

42%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle Jets Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—0%0%0%—0%
Draws—0%0%100%—100%
Loses—100%100%0%—0%

Form: Newcastle Jets: L • Melbourne Victory: D

League goals

Metric Newcastle Jets Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
GF total022000
GF avg0.02.02.00.00.00.0
GA total033000
GA avg0.03.03.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastle JetsMelbourne Victory
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%0%0%
1.5100%100%0%0%
2.50%100%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastle JetsMelbourne Victory
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricNewcastle JetsMelbourne Victory
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNewcastle JetsMelbourne Victory
Wins00
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses—3-2——
Goals For0200
Goals Against0300

Model comparison

MetricNewcastle JetsMelbourne Victory
Form0%100%
Att100%0%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Melbourne Victory

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ Unibet
Away2.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Pinnacle
No2.70 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle Jets = 0.05 (league 1.78), Melbourne Victory = 0.05 (league 1.50)

Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle Jets 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 90.7% · Away win 4.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1