A-League — Australia
Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 10:45 • HBF Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.88 (league 1.70) 2.75 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.6% 7.1% 7.0%
best score tips
5 - 2
4.0%
5 - 3
3.6%
4 - 2
3.4%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perth Glory 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 1.4% 0.8%
4 0.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.1% 2.1% 1.2%
5 1.0% 2.9% 4.0% 3.6% 2.5% 1.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPerth GloryMelbourne Victory
Played22
Form17%17%
Attack15%15%
Defense54%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 35 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

66%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Perth Glory Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%50%100%0%50%
Loses0%100%50%0%100%50%

Form: Perth Glory: DL • Melbourne Victory: DL

League goals

Metric Perth Glory Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
GF total202022
GF avg2.00.01.00.02.01.0
GA total246055
GA avg2.04.03.00.05.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePerth GloryMelbourne Victory
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%50%50%
1.550%100%50%50%
2.50%50%0%50%
3.50%50%0%50%
4.50%0%0%50%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPerth GloryMelbourne Victory
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricPerth GloryMelbourne Victory
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPerth GloryMelbourne Victory
Wins00
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses—4-0—5-2
Goals For2002
Goals Against2405

Model comparison

MetricPerth GloryMelbourne Victory
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%100%
Goals9%91%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Melbourne Victory and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Unibet
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Betano
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Perth Glory = 5.88 (league 1.70), Melbourne Victory = 2.75 (league 1.45)

Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perth Glory 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 1.4% 0.8%
4 0.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.1% 2.1% 1.2%
5 1.0% 2.9% 4.0% 3.6% 2.5% 1.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.6% · Draw 7.1% · Away win 7.0%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1