A-League — Australia
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 06:00 • polytec Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 1.70) 2.75 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.1% 15.2% 24.9%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.2%
3 - 3
4.8%
4 - 2
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
Wellington Phoenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Central Coast Mariners 0 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 0.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.9%
2 1.2% 3.2% 4.4% 4.1% 2.8% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.8% 5.2% 4.8% 3.3% 1.8%
4 1.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.6%
5 0.8% 2.3% 3.2% 3.0% 2.0% 1.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCentral Coast MarinersWellington Phoenix
Played22
Form50%67%
Attack25%33%
Defense67%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.54 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 23 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Central Coast Mariners Wellington Phoenix
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses0%100%50%0%0%0%

Form: Central Coast Mariners: WL • Wellington Phoenix: DW

League goals

Metric Central Coast Mariners Wellington Phoenix
HATHAT
GF total303224
GF avg3.00.01.52.02.02.0
GA total224123
GA avg2.02.02.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCentral Coast MarinersWellington Phoenix
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%100%
1.550%100%100%50%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCentral Coast MarinersWellington Phoenix
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricCentral Coast MarinersWellington Phoenix
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCentral Coast MarinersWellington Phoenix
Wins10
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2—2-1—
Biggest losses—2-0——
Goals For3022
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricCentral Coast MarinersWellington Phoenix
Form43%57%
Att43%57%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h62%38%
Goals44%56%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Central Coast Mariners or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away2.80 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ SBO
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Central Coast Mariners = 3.53 (league 1.70), Wellington Phoenix = 2.75 (league 1.45)

Wellington Phoenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Central Coast Mariners 0 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 0.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.9%
2 1.2% 3.2% 4.4% 4.1% 2.8% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.8% 5.2% 4.8% 3.3% 1.8%
4 1.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.6%
5 0.8% 2.3% 3.2% 3.0% 2.0% 1.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.1% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 24.9%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1