A-League — Australia
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 08:35 • AAMI Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.70) 0.59 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 47.0% 33.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.0%
0 - 1
22.3%
1 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory 0 38.0% 22.3% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.5% 8.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne VictoryMelbourne City
Played33
Form44%56%
Attack33%42%
Defense58%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.35 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.71 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

36%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne Victory Melbourne City
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%50%33%100%0%33%
Draws100%0%33%0%100%67%
Loses0%50%33%0%0%0%

Form: Melbourne Victory: DLW • Melbourne City: DWD

League goals

Metric Melbourne Victory Melbourne City
HATHAT
GF total044415
GF avg0.02.01.34.00.51.7
GA total055011
GA avg0.02.51.70.00.50.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne VictoryMelbourne City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%67%33%
1.567%33%33%0%
2.50%33%33%0%
3.50%33%33%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne VictoryMelbourne City
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricMelbourne VictoryMelbourne City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMelbourne VictoryMelbourne City
Wins01
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-24-0—
Biggest losses—5-2——
Goals For0241
Goals Against0501

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne VictoryMelbourne City
Form44%56%
Att44%56%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Melbourne City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.38 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne Victory = 0.38 (league 1.70), Melbourne City = 0.59 (league 1.45)

Melbourne City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory 0 38.0% 22.3% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.5% 8.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 47.0% · Away win 33.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1