A-League — Australia
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 08:35 • Coopers Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.70) 0.34 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.3% 56.0% 21.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
49.8%
1 - 0
17.6%
0 - 1
17.2%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Adelaide United 0 49.8% 17.2% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.6% 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAdelaide UnitedMelbourne City
Played44
Form50%67%
Attack55%64%
Defense55%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.57 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.31 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Adelaide United Melbourne City
HATHAT
Played224134
Wins100%0%50%100%33%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%67%50%
Loses0%100%50%0%0%0%

Form: Adelaide United: WLLW • Melbourne City: DWDW

League goals

Metric Adelaide United Melbourne City
HATHAT
GF total426437
GF avg2.01.01.54.01.01.8
GA total145011
GA avg0.52.01.30.00.30.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAdelaide UnitedMelbourne City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%75%25%
1.550%50%50%0%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAdelaide UnitedMelbourne City
HATHAT
Clean sheets101123
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricAdelaide UnitedMelbourne City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAdelaide UnitedMelbourne City
Wins11
Draws01
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—4-00-2
Biggest losses—2-1——
Goals For2142
Goals Against1201

Model comparison

MetricAdelaide UnitedMelbourne City
Form43%57%
Att46%54%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h71%29%
Goals79%21%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Adelaide United or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ 10Bet
Draw3.76 @ Pinnacle
Away2.38 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.22 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Adelaide United = 0.35 (league 1.70), Melbourne City = 0.34 (league 1.45)

Melbourne City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Adelaide United 0 49.8% 17.2% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.6% 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.3% · Draw 56.0% · Away win 21.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1