A-League — Australia
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 04:00 • Sky Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.63) 0.87 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.5% 27.6% 23.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wellington Phoenix 0 10.6% 9.2% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 12.7% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.1% 8.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWellington PhoenixMacarthur
Played44
Form42%33%
Attack40%20%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.53 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.55 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wellington Phoenix Macarthur
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%0%25%
Draws0%100%50%50%0%25%
Loses50%0%25%0%100%50%

Form: Wellington Phoenix: DWDL • Macarthur: LWDL

League goals

Metric Wellington Phoenix Macarthur
HATHAT
GF total336303
GF avg1.51.51.51.50.00.8
GA total336235
GA avg1.51.51.51.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWellington PhoenixMacarthur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%100%
1.550%50%25%25%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWellington PhoenixMacarthur
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricWellington PhoenixMacarthur
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWellington PhoenixMacarthur
Wins11
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-1—
Biggest losses1-2——2-0
Goals For2220
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricWellington PhoenixMacarthur
Form56%44%
Att67%33%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Wellington Phoenix or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Betfair
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ 188Bet
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wellington Phoenix = 1.38 (league 1.63), Macarthur = 0.87 (league 1.38)

Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wellington Phoenix 0 10.6% 9.2% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 12.7% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.1% 8.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.5% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 23.6%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1