A-League — Australia
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 04:00 • Sky Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.70) 0.83 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.0% 28.3% 23.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wellington Phoenix 0 11.7% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.4% 12.7% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.2% 8.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWellington PhoenixMacarthur
Played44
Form42%33%
Attack55%27%
Defense45%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.53 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.55 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wellington Phoenix Macarthur
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%0%25%
Draws0%100%50%50%0%25%
Loses50%0%25%0%100%50%

Form: Wellington Phoenix: DWDL • Macarthur: LWDL

League goals

Metric Wellington Phoenix Macarthur
HATHAT
GF total336303
GF avg1.51.51.51.50.00.8
GA total336235
GA avg1.51.51.51.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWellington PhoenixMacarthur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%100%
1.550%50%25%25%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWellington PhoenixMacarthur
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricWellington PhoenixMacarthur
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWellington PhoenixMacarthur
Wins11
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-1—
Biggest losses1-2——2-0
Goals For2220
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricWellington PhoenixMacarthur
Form56%44%
Att67%33%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Wellington Phoenix or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Bet365
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away2.67 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Betano
No2.45 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Wellington Phoenix = 1.32 (league 1.70), Macarthur = 0.83 (league 1.45)

Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wellington Phoenix 0 11.7% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.4% 12.7% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.2% 8.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 23.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod2