A-League — Australia
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 08:35 • Leichhardt Oval
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.05 (league 1.64) 1.16 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.2% 13.7% 11.1%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 1
8.0%
3 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sydney 0 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.5% 5.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.9% 8.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.0% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.4% 6.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.3% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSydneyMelbourne Victory
Played44
Form75%33%
Attack69%31%
Defense77%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.34 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.87 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sydney Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%0%50%25%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%25%
Loses0%50%25%50%50%50%

Form: Sydney: LWWW • Melbourne Victory: DLWL

League goals

Metric Sydney Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
GF total459044
GF avg2.02.52.30.02.01.0
GA total033257
GA avg0.01.50.81.02.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSydneyMelbourne Victory
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%50%
1.575%25%50%50%
2.525%0%0%25%
3.525%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSydneyMelbourne Victory
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricSydneyMelbourne Victory
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSydneyMelbourne Victory
Wins01
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-4—0-2
Biggest losses—2-10-25-2
Goals For2402
Goals Against0225

Model comparison

MetricSydneyMelbourne Victory
Form69%31%
Att69%31%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Winner : Sydney

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away3.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.47 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ 188Bet
No2.62 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sydney = 3.05 (league 1.64), Melbourne Victory = 1.16 (league 1.38)

Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sydney 0 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.5% 5.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.9% 8.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.0% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.4% 6.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.3% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 11.1%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1