A-League — Australia
Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 08:35 • Suncorp Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.64) 0.57 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.8% 17.6% 8.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.3%
1 - 0
14.3%
3 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brisbane Roar 0 6.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.3% 8.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 8.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrisbane RoarMelbourne Victory
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack43%29%
Defense79%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brisbane Roar Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
Played325235
Wins67%0%40%0%33%20%
Draws33%50%40%50%0%20%
Loses0%50%20%50%67%60%

Form: Brisbane Roar: WLDWD • Melbourne Victory: DLWLL

League goals

Metric Brisbane Roar Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
GF total426044
GF avg1.31.01.20.01.30.8
GA total0332810
GA avg0.01.50.61.02.72.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrisbane RoarMelbourne Victory
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%40%60%
1.520%20%40%60%
2.520%0%0%40%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrisbane RoarMelbourne Victory
HATHAT
Clean sheets303112
Failed to score101213

Penalties

MetricBrisbane RoarMelbourne Victory
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBrisbane RoarMelbourne Victory
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0——0-2
Biggest losses—2-10-25-2
Goals For3102
Goals Against0225

Model comparison

MetricBrisbane RoarMelbourne Victory
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total63.2%36.8%

Advice: Double chance : Brisbane Roar or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ 10Bet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ SBO
Under 2.52.07 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Brisbane Roar = 2.14 (league 1.64), Melbourne Victory = 0.57 (league 1.38)

Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brisbane Roar 0 6.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.3% 8.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 8.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.8% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 8.5%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1