A-League — Australia
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 06:00 • polytec Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.64) 1.09 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.3% 25.0% 26.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Central Coast Mariners 0 6.9% 7.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.9% 11.9% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.4% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.6% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne City
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack50%57%
Defense43%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Central Coast Mariners Melbourne City
HATHAT
Played235145
Wins50%33%40%100%25%40%
Draws50%0%20%0%50%40%
Loses0%67%40%0%25%20%

Form: Central Coast Mariners: WLDWL • Melbourne City: DWDWL

League goals

Metric Central Coast Mariners Melbourne City
HATHAT
GF total437448
GF avg2.01.01.44.01.01.6
GA total358055
GA avg1.51.71.60.01.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%80%40%
1.540%60%40%20%
2.520%20%20%20%
3.50%0%20%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne City
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne City
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne City
Wins11
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-14-00-2
Biggest losses—2-0—4-1
Goals For3242
Goals Against2304

Model comparison

MetricCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne City
Form47%53%
Att47%53%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Central Coast Mariners or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.95 @ Betano
Away1.79 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Central Coast Mariners = 1.59 (league 1.64), Melbourne City = 1.09 (league 1.38)

Melbourne City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Central Coast Mariners 0 6.9% 7.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.9% 11.9% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.4% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.6% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 26.0%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1