A-League — Australia
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 07:00 • Campbelltown Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.58) 0.69 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.5% 16.0% 9.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.1%
1 - 0
11.0%
3 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Perth Glory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macarthur 0 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.0% 7.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.1% 9.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMacarthurPerth Glory
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack50%50%
Defense38%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Macarthur Perth Glory
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%0%50%20%
Draws50%0%20%33%0%20%
Loses0%67%40%67%50%60%

Form: Macarthur: LWDLW • Perth Glory: DLLLW

League goals

Metric Macarthur Perth Glory
HATHAT
GF total314224
GF avg1.50.30.80.71.00.8
GA total2355510
GA avg1.01.01.01.72.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMacarthurPerth Glory
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%40%100%
1.520%20%40%60%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMacarthurPerth Glory
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricMacarthurPerth Glory
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMacarthurPerth Glory
Wins10
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1—1-2
Biggest losses—2-00-24-0
Goals For2122
Goals Against1224

Model comparison

MetricMacarthurPerth Glory
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h71%29%
Goals74%26%
Total65.8%34.2%

Advice: Double chance : Macarthur or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ Unibet
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away4.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ 188Bet
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Macarthur = 2.38 (league 1.58), Perth Glory = 0.69 (league 1.45)

Perth Glory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macarthur 0 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.0% 7.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.1% 9.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.5% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 9.0%

vtt 3 , vtd1