A-League — Australia
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 08:35 • Campbelltown Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.58) 0.90 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.8% 26.6% 23.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macarthur 0 9.4% 8.5% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 13.8% 12.4% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.1% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.9% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMacarthurMelbourne Victory
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack44%44%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Macarthur Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
Played336246
Wins33%33%33%0%25%17%
Draws33%0%17%50%0%17%
Loses33%67%50%50%75%67%

Form: Macarthur: LWDLWL • Melbourne Victory: DLWLLL

League goals

Metric Macarthur Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
GF total314044
GF avg1.00.30.70.01.00.7
GA total4372911
GA avg1.31.01.21.02.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMacarthurMelbourne Victory
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%33%67%
1.517%33%33%50%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMacarthurMelbourne Victory
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricMacarthurMelbourne Victory
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMacarthurMelbourne Victory
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1—0-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-25-2
Goals For2102
Goals Against2225

Model comparison

MetricMacarthurMelbourne Victory
Form70%30%
Att50%50%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total56.2%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Macarthur or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ 1xBet
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away2.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Macarthur = 1.46 (league 1.58), Melbourne Victory = 0.90 (league 1.45)

Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macarthur 0 9.4% 8.5% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 13.8% 12.4% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.1% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.9% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.8% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 23.2%

vtt 7 , vtd1