A-League — Australia
Tue, Dec 23 2025 • 08:15 • AAMI Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.58) 0.10 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.0% 28.8% 3.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
32.2%
0 - 0
25.3%
2 - 0
20.4%
Score & goals probability table
Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 25.3% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 32.2% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.4% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne CityMacarthur
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack40%30%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne City Macarthur
HATHAT
Played268538
Wins50%33%38%40%33%38%
Draws0%50%38%40%0%25%
Loses50%17%25%20%67%38%

Form: Melbourne City: DWDWLDWL • Macarthur: LWDLWLDW

League goals

Metric Melbourne City Macarthur
HATHAT
GF total459516
GF avg2.00.81.11.00.30.8
GA total156538
GA avg0.50.80.81.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne CityMacarthur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%38%50%75%
1.525%13%25%25%
2.513%13%0%0%
3.513%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne CityMacarthur
HATHAT
Clean sheets145112
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricMelbourne CityMacarthur
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMelbourne CityMacarthur
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-10-1
Biggest losses0-14-10-22-0
Goals For4221
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne CityMacarthur
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Melbourne City or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ 1xBet
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away6.60 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.15 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne City = 1.27 (league 1.58), Macarthur = 0.10 (league 1.44)

Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 25.3% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 32.2% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.4% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.0% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 3.0%

vtt 12 , vtd1