A-League — Australia
Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 08:35 • AAMI Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.64) 0.73 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.5% 37.4% 31.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.3%
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 1
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
Adelaide United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory 0 23.3% 16.9% 6.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.4% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne VictoryAdelaide United
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack20%80%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne Victory Adelaide United
HATHAT
Played257437
Wins0%20%14%75%0%43%
Draws50%20%29%0%0%0%
Loses50%60%57%25%100%57%

Form: Melbourne Victory: DLWLLLD • Adelaide United: WLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Melbourne Victory Adelaide United
HATHAT
GF total0448311
GF avg0.00.80.62.01.01.6
GA total2911369
GA avg1.01.81.60.82.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne VictoryAdelaide United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.529%57%86%86%
1.529%43%43%43%
2.50%29%14%0%
3.50%14%14%0%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne VictoryAdelaide United
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score235101

Penalties

MetricMelbourne VictoryAdelaide United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMelbourne VictoryAdelaide United
Wins12
Draws10
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-24-1—
Biggest losses0-25-20-12-1
Goals For0241
Goals Against2512

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne VictoryAdelaide United
Form40%60%
Att20%80%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h80%20%
Goals63%37%
Total50.6%49.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Adelaide United and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ 1xBet
Draw3.74 @ 1xBet
Away2.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.47 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.60 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne Victory = 0.73 (league 1.64), Adelaide United = 0.73 (league 1.38)

Adelaide United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory 0 23.3% 16.9% 6.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.4% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.5% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 31.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1