A-League — Australia
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 02:00 • Sky Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.54) 1.18 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.6% 22.0% 22.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle Jets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wellington Phoenix 0 4.4% 5.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.6% 10.1% 6.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.4% 6.3% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWellington PhoenixNewcastle Jets
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack63%50%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wellington Phoenix Newcastle Jets
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins50%0%29%25%33%29%
Draws0%67%29%0%0%0%
Loses50%33%43%75%67%71%

Form: Wellington Phoenix: DWDLLWL • Newcastle Jets: LWLLLWL

League goals

Metric Wellington Phoenix Newcastle Jets
HATHAT
GF total5497411
GF avg1.31.31.31.81.31.6
GA total56119716
GA avg1.32.01.62.32.32.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWellington PhoenixNewcastle Jets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%100%71%100%
1.543%43%43%71%
2.50%14%14%43%
3.50%0%14%14%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWellington PhoenixNewcastle Jets
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricWellington PhoenixNewcastle Jets
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWellington PhoenixNewcastle Jets
Wins11
Draws10
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—5-21-2
Biggest losses1-23-11-43-0
Goals For2252
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricWellington PhoenixNewcastle Jets
Form57%43%
Att56%44%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total59.3%40.7%

Advice: Double chance : Wellington Phoenix or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.20 @ 1xBet
Away2.29 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.87 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ 1xBet
No3.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Wellington Phoenix = 1.94 (league 1.54), Newcastle Jets = 1.18 (league 1.43)

Newcastle Jets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wellington Phoenix 0 4.4% 5.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.6% 10.1% 6.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.4% 6.3% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.6% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 22.8%

vtt 6 , vtd1