A-League — Australia
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 06:00 • McDonald Jones Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.55) 2.57 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.1% 17.0% 63.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 2
7.9%
1 - 3
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sydney
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle Jets 0 2.4% 6.1% 7.9% 6.8% 4.4% 2.2%
1 2.8% 7.1% 9.2% 7.9% 5.1% 2.6%
2 1.6% 4.1% 5.3% 4.6% 2.9% 1.5%
3 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastle JetsSydney
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack46%62%
Defense38%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle Jets Sydney
HATHAT
Played448358
Wins25%50%38%100%60%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses75%50%63%0%40%25%

Form: Newcastle Jets: LWLLLWLW • Sydney: LWWWWLWW

League goals

Metric Newcastle Jets Sydney
HATHAT
GF total77147815
GF avg1.81.81.82.31.61.9
GA total9817055
GA avg2.32.02.10.01.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastle JetsSydney
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%88%50%
1.550%63%63%13%
2.525%38%25%0%
3.513%13%13%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastle JetsSydney
HATHAT
Clean sheets000314
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricNewcastle JetsSydney
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNewcastle JetsSydney
Wins14
Draws00
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-33-01-4
Biggest losses1-43-0—2-1
Goals For5334
Goals Against4302

Model comparison

MetricNewcastle JetsSydney
Form33%67%
Att43%57%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total31.3%68.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sydney

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.33 @ 1xBet
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.06 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ Bet365
No3.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle Jets = 1.16 (league 1.55), Sydney = 2.57 (league 1.43)

Sydney
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle Jets 0 2.4% 6.1% 7.9% 6.8% 4.4% 2.2%
1 2.8% 7.1% 9.2% 7.9% 5.1% 2.6%
2 1.6% 4.1% 5.3% 4.6% 2.9% 1.5%
3 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.1% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 63.1%

vtt 14 , vtd1