A-League — Australia
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 08:35 • AAMI Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.57 (league 1.58) 0.39 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.8% 2.6% 0.7%
best score tips
4 - 0
12.8%
5 - 0
11.7%
3 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.4% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.2% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.8% 5.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.7% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne CityMelbourne Victory
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack33%17%
Defense67%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne City Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
Played167358
Wins100%33%43%33%20%25%
Draws0%50%43%33%20%25%
Loses0%17%14%33%60%50%

Form: Melbourne City: DWDWLDW • Melbourne Victory: DLWLLLDW

League goals

Metric Melbourne City Melbourne Victory
HATHAT
GF total459246
GF avg4.00.81.30.70.80.8
GA total0553912
GA avg0.00.80.71.01.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne CityMelbourne Victory
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%29%38%63%
1.529%14%38%38%
2.514%14%0%25%
3.514%14%0%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne CityMelbourne Victory
HATHAT
Clean sheets145123
Failed to score022235

Penalties

MetricMelbourne CityMelbourne Victory
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMelbourne CityMelbourne Victory
Wins11
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-10-2
Biggest losses—4-10-25-2
Goals For4222
Goals Against0425

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne CityMelbourne Victory
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total62.8%37.2%

Advice: Winner : Melbourne City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away3.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne City = 4.57 (league 1.58), Melbourne Victory = 0.39 (league 1.44)

Melbourne Victory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.4% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.2% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.8% 5.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.7% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.8% · Draw 2.6% · Away win 0.7%

vtt 7 , vtd1