A-League — Australia
Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 08:00 • Campbelltown Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.61) 0.58 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.5% 46.8% 32.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
37.6%
0 - 1
21.8%
1 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Brisbane Roar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macarthur 0 37.6% 21.8% 6.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMacarthurBrisbane Roar
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack18%55%
Defense55%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Macarthur Brisbane Roar
HATHAT
Played437448
Wins25%33%29%75%25%50%
Draws50%0%29%25%50%38%
Loses25%67%43%0%25%13%

Form: Macarthur: LWDLWLD • Brisbane Roar: WLDWDWWD

League goals

Metric Macarthur Brisbane Roar
HATHAT
GF total314538
GF avg0.80.30.61.30.81.0
GA total437033
GA avg1.01.01.00.00.80.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMacarthurBrisbane Roar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%71%75%25%
1.514%29%13%13%
2.50%0%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMacarthurBrisbane Roar
HATHAT
Clean sheets112426
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricMacarthurBrisbane Roar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMacarthurBrisbane Roar
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-00-1
Biggest losses0-22-0—2-1
Goals For2131
Goals Against2202

Model comparison

MetricMacarthurBrisbane Roar
Form31%69%
Att25%75%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Brisbane Roar and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.69 @ 1xBet
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away2.69 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Unibet
No2.21 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Macarthur = 0.40 (league 1.61), Brisbane Roar = 0.58 (league 1.38)

Brisbane Roar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macarthur 0 37.6% 21.8% 6.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.5% · Draw 46.8% · Away win 32.8%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1