A-League — Australia
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 08:35 • McDonald Jones Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.58) 0.62 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 31.6% 20.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.6%
0 - 0
17.1%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle Jets 0 17.1% 10.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.6% 12.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.2% 7.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastle JetsMacarthur
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack80%40%
Defense50%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle Jets Macarthur
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%50%44%40%25%33%
Draws0%0%0%40%25%33%
Loses60%50%56%20%50%33%

Form: Newcastle Jets: LWLLLWLWW • Macarthur: LWDLWLDWD

League goals

Metric Newcastle Jets Macarthur
HATHAT
GF total9716527
GF avg1.81.81.81.00.50.8
GA total9817549
GA avg1.82.01.91.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastle JetsMacarthur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%89%56%78%
1.556%56%22%22%
2.522%33%0%0%
3.511%11%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastle JetsMacarthur
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricNewcastle JetsMacarthur
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricNewcastle JetsMacarthur
Wins11
Draws01
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-32-10-1
Biggest losses1-43-00-22-0
Goals For5321
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricNewcastle JetsMacarthur
Form53%47%
Att67%33%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals52%48%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : Newcastle Jets or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ 1xBet
Draw4.40 @ Betano
Away3.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ Pinnacle
No3.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle Jets = 1.14 (league 1.58), Macarthur = 0.62 (league 1.45)

Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle Jets 0 17.1% 10.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.6% 12.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.2% 7.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 20.1%

vtt 24 , vtd1