A-League — Australia
Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 08:00 • AAMI Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.54) 0.90 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.7% 32.8% 33.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.3%
1 - 0
14.8%
0 - 1
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Wellington Phoenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory 0 16.3% 14.8% 6.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.4% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.7% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack13%29%
Defense79%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne Victory Wellington Phoenix
HATHAT
Played369639
Wins33%33%33%50%0%33%
Draws33%17%22%0%67%22%
Loses33%50%44%50%33%44%

Form: Melbourne Victory: DLWLLLDWW • Wellington Phoenix: DWDLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Melbourne Victory Wellington Phoenix
HATHAT
GF total2579413
GF avg0.70.80.81.51.31.4
GA total39129615
GA avg1.01.51.31.52.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%56%89%100%
1.533%33%44%44%
2.50%22%11%22%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix
HATHAT
Clean sheets134000
Failed to score235101

Penalties

MetricMelbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMelbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix
Wins11
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-1—
Biggest losses0-25-21-33-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix
Form54%46%
Att30%70%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Melbourne Victory or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Bet365
Draw4.65 @ Betano
Away5.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.49 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Unibet
No2.30 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne Victory = 0.91 (league 1.54), Wellington Phoenix = 0.90 (league 1.44)

Wellington Phoenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory 0 16.3% 14.8% 6.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.4% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.7% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.7% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 33.5%

vtt 12 , vtd1