A-League — Australia
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 08:35 • AAMI Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.56) 1.17 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.4% 28.2% 36.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sydney
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 9.8% 11.5% 6.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.3% 13.2% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.6% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne CitySydney
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack16%32%
Defense74%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne City Sydney
HATHAT
Played4610369
Wins25%33%30%100%50%67%
Draws25%50%40%0%0%0%
Loses50%17%30%0%50%33%

Form: Melbourne City: DWDWLDWLDL • Sydney: LWWWWLWWL

League goals

Metric Melbourne City Sydney
HATHAT
GF total65117815
GF avg1.50.81.12.31.31.7
GA total5510077
GA avg1.30.81.00.01.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne CitySydney
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%50%78%56%
1.520%20%56%22%
2.510%20%22%0%
3.510%10%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne CitySydney
HATHAT
Clean sheets145314
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricMelbourne CitySydney
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMelbourne CitySydney
Wins14
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-01-4
Biggest losses1-34-1—2-0
Goals For4234
Goals Against3402

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne CitySydney
Form36%64%
Att33%67%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Melbourne City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away3.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Unibet
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne City = 1.15 (league 1.56), Sydney = 1.17 (league 1.45)

Sydney
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 9.8% 11.5% 6.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.3% 13.2% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.6% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 36.1%

vtt 11 , vtd1