A-League — Australia
Fri, Jan 2 2026 • 08:35 • AAMI Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.58) 1.25 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.5% 23.8% 27.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Perth Glory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory 0 5.2% 6.5% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.9% 11.1% 6.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.5% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.3% 5.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne VictoryPerth Glory
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack44%33%
Defense83%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne Victory Perth Glory
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins50%33%40%17%75%40%
Draws25%17%20%17%0%10%
Loses25%50%40%67%25%50%

Form: Melbourne Victory: DLWLLLDWWW • Perth Glory: DLLLWWWLLW

League goals

Metric Melbourne Victory Perth Glory
HATHAT
GF total75123710
GF avg1.80.81.20.51.81.0
GA total49137613
GA avg1.01.51.31.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne VictoryPerth Glory
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%60%50%80%
1.540%30%40%30%
2.510%20%10%10%
3.510%10%0%10%
4.510%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne VictoryPerth Glory
HATHAT
Clean sheets134112
Failed to score235415

Penalties

MetricMelbourne VictoryPerth Glory
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMelbourne VictoryPerth Glory
Wins13
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-21-01-3
Biggest losses0-25-20-24-0
Goals For5223
Goals Against2524

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne VictoryPerth Glory
Form53%47%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total53.8%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Melbourne Victory or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ 10Bet
Draw4.25 @ Betano
Away4.60 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.28 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne Victory = 1.71 (league 1.58), Perth Glory = 1.25 (league 1.44)

Perth Glory
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory 0 5.2% 6.5% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.9% 11.1% 6.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.5% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.3% 5.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.5% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 27.7%

vtt 10 , vtd1