A-League — Australia
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 08:35 • Coopers Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.79 (league 1.58) 0.69 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.4% 12.5% 6.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.0%
3 - 0
11.1%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Central Coast Mariners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Adelaide United 0 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.6% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.1% 7.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.8% 5.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAdelaide UnitedCentral Coast Mariners
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack46%31%
Defense46%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Adelaide United Central Coast Mariners
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins80%20%50%17%25%20%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%20%
Loses20%80%50%50%75%60%

Form: Adelaide United: WLLWWLLLWW • Central Coast Mariners: WLDWLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Adelaide United Central Coast Mariners
HATHAT
GF total115167411
GF avg2.21.01.61.21.01.1
GA total58139817
GA avg1.01.61.31.52.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAdelaide UnitedCentral Coast Mariners
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%80%80%80%
1.540%50%20%70%
2.520%0%10%20%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAdelaide UnitedCentral Coast Mariners
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricAdelaide UnitedCentral Coast Mariners
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAdelaide UnitedCentral Coast Mariners
Wins21
Draws01
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-13-20-1
Biggest losses0-12-11-23-1
Goals For4132
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricAdelaide UnitedCentral Coast Mariners
Form86%14%
Att60%40%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Winner : Adelaide United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Betano
Draw3.95 @ Betano
Away4.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ SBO
Under 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Adelaide United = 2.79 (league 1.58), Central Coast Mariners = 0.69 (league 1.45)

Central Coast Mariners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Adelaide United 0 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.6% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.1% 7.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.8% 5.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.4% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 6.6%

vtt 2 , vtd1